Resumen
Safer urban environments are needed for all road users to ensure the European targets to halve road
deaths and injuries by 2030 are met. Vulnerable road users require specific attention in an urban
environment that is subject to constant change as new forms of transport and micro-mobility enter
the system. Existing traffic simulation models allow changes in traffic conditions to be tested but
are often vehicle and travel time focused and do not measure detailed outcomes specific to
vulnerable road users and road safety. City administrations and transport managers will benefit
from predictive tools that allow these changes and their implications for road safety, mobility,
and sustainable transport to be anticipated, and support the associated policy, regulatory and
consumer response. The Predictive Approaches for Safer Urban Environments project (PHOEBE) will
move beyond the state of the art and deliver an interdisciplinary solution that will integrate
traffic simulation, road safety assessment, human behaviour, mode shift and induced demand
modelling and new and emerging mobility and telematics data into a harmonised, prospective
assessment framework for road safety. New conditions and mobility solutions will be able to be
assessed and safe system solutions tested. The PHOEBE framework, software module and knowledge
products will allow dynamic safety prediction and socioeconomic evaluation that is evidence-based
and simulates future scenarios and impacts. Simple and effective visualisation and socioeconomic
modelling will provide the confidence for policy decisions and investment. City administrations
across EU will be consulted as the framework is developed and deployed. The feasibility of the
framework will be
st Midlands (UK), which have been selected to maximise the use
of existing base traffic models, potential impact and to ensure the future scalability and
transferability of the solution.
