Optimisation of Aggregate Demand Flexibility in Smart Grids and Wholesale Electricity Markets: A Bi-Level Aggregator Model Approach

Toledo Orozco Marco Antonio, D. X. Morales, YBesanger, Álvarez Bel Carlos María, Freddy H. Chuqui, Javier B. Cabrera

2025

Energies

The transition toward intelligent and sustainable power systems requires practical schemes to integrate industrial demand flexibility into short-term operation, particularly in emerging electricity markets. This paper proposes an integrated framework that combines data-driven flexibility characterisation with a bi-level optimisation model for an industrial demand-side aggregator participating in the short-term balancing market. Flexibility is identified from AMI data and process information of large consumers, yielding around 2 MW of interruptible load and 3 MW of reducible load over a 24 h horizon. At the upper level, the aggregator maximises its profit by submitting flexibility offers; at the lower level, the system operator minimises balancing costs by co-optimising thermal generation and activated flexibility. The problem is formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming model and is evaluated on a real subtransmission and distribution network of a local utility in Ecuador, with ex-post power flow validation in DIgSILENT PowerFactory. Numerical results show that, despite the limited flexible capacity, the aggregator reduces the maximum energy price from USD/MWh 172.32 to 139.59 (about 19%), generating a daily revenue of USD 2475.15. From a network perspective, demand flexibility eliminates undervoltage at the most critical bus (from 0.93 to 1.03 p.u.) without creating overvoltages, while line loadings remain below 50% in all cases and total daily technical losses decrease from 89.46 to 89.10 MWh (about 0.4%). These results highlight both the potential and current limitations of industrial demand flexibility in short-term markets.